This is the Vikings’ Math for Homefield Benefit

Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Photos.

Every week, VikingsTerritory tracks the Minnesota Vikings’ odds of reaching the postseason, beginning with pre-Week 1 all the best way to Week 18.

Right here’s the Vikings’ Math for Homefield Benefit

Numerous likelihood sources are tracked and centralized in a single spot for reference.

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports activities.

That is the Vikings’ likelihood meter after the Week 16 win on the Seattle Seahawks. All playoff math for this model is offered by DVOA.

Miss Playoffs Altogether:Inconceivable

Shaun Brooks-Imagn Photos.

The Vikings have clinched a playoff spot that can’t be eliminated, it doesn’t matter what.

As a really worst-case situation, Minnesota would bounce into the postseason because the No. 6 seed, assuming it misplaced its subsequent two video games and the Inexperienced Bay Packers received out.

Win NFC North, However Not No. 1 Seed:7.4%

Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Photos.

On this situation, Minnesota would catch the Lions from behind for the NFC North crown, however the Philadelphia Eagles would end the season with the identical report (or higher) as Minnesota and take the No. 1 seed.

It could mainly go like this: a Vikings loss to the Packers on Sunday | a 49ers win over the Lions on Monday Evening Soccer | the Eagles win their ultimate two video games | the Vikings beat the Lions in Week 18.

Oddsmakers don’t don’t actually imagine the Vikings can catch as much as the Lions, ensuing within the No. 2 seed.

Clinch Homefield Benefit All through (No. 1 Seed):16.1%

Joe Nicholson-Imagn Photos

That is the Holy Grail plan.

Enter Week 18 with the identical report because the Lions or one recreation higher within the standings. Beat the Lions. Earn homefield benefit all through.

If one assumes Minnesota can win its remaining two video games, the purple group will earn homefield benefit all through the postseason match. It’s proper there in entrance of them, with “control your own destiny” stakes.

Earn the No. 6 Seed: 36.4%

Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Photos.

Right here, Minnesota would doubtless lose at residence versus the Packers, once more subsequent weekend, whereas Inexperienced Bay beats the Bears in Week 18.

The cheese group would leapfrog Minnesota, seizing the No. 5 seed. Minnesota would doubtless play the Los Angeles Rams in Spherical 1 of the postseason at SoFi Stadium.

Earn No. 5 Seed:40.1%

Brad Rempel-Imagn Photos.

Minnesota has a two-game cushion on the Packers by 16 weeks, and if that lead stays, the fifth-seeded Vikings are coming to a playoff bracket close to you.

If one assumes Minnesota will lose one in every of its ultimate two video games, that is essentially the most logical touchdown spot for Kevin O’Connell’s group. If it loses each, the sixth seed is the possible verdict.

Dustin Baker is a political scientist who graduated from the College of Minnesota in 2007. Subscribe to his each day YouTube Channel, VikesNow. The present options visitors, evaluation, and opinion on all issues associated to the purple group, with 4-7 episodes per week. His MIN obsession dates again to 1996. Listed responsible pleasures: Peanut Butter Ice Cream, ‘The Sopranos,’ Basset Hounds, and The Doorways (the band). He follows the NBA as carefully because the NFL. 

All statistics offered by Professional Soccer Reference / Stathead; all contractual data offered by OverTheCap.com.