The Indianapolis Colts had been extra lively in free company this offseason, signing some large defensive backs and one quarterback in addition to tidying up some issues with a few of their very own guys. The Colts began out free company in a wholesome place, however a great sum of money has left the constructing, so how a lot is left and the way far more can the group realistically spend?
The group went into Free Company with roughly 41M in cap house. The group made the next strikes with the related cap hits for 2025:
Cam Bynum – 7.01M
Charvarius Ward – 9.2M
Daniel Jones – 14M
Ashton Dulin – 2.78M
Danny Pinter – 1.67M
Khalil Herbert – 2M (projected, no particulars have been launched)
Neville Gallimore – 2M (projected, no particulars have been launched)
After accounting for all these strikes, that leaves the Colts with round 9.5M in cap house.
Braden Smith scenario
Earlier than Free Company, the Colts restructured/reworked the Braden Smith contract, which freed up some cap house. Whereas the small print of that restructured haven’t been launched, I imagine the Colts restructured his base wage and roster bonus right into a sigining bonus after which added a void 12 months to unfold out the cap hit. The signing bonus is prorated evenly over the size of the contract, and that is how groups are ready to economize once they restructure because it lowers the cap hit for the present 12 months and spreads it over the remaining years of the contract. As a result of Braden Smith solely has one 12 months left on his deal, there’s nothing the Colts can do to his contract that might add house, until Smith took a pay minimize, which makes the including void years state of affairs the most probably. A void 12 months is a “dummy” 12 months which might be used to unfold out cash (particularly a signing bonus) past the size of the contract.
If he took a pay minimize, then it’s fairly easy, no matter quantity he took off his contract is the quantity the Colts save. If the Colts restructured his base wage and roster bonus right into a signing bonus and added a void 12 months, then the projected financial savings must be within the vary of $8.75M.
This may be calculated by taking his $14.75M and subtracted $1.25M (the veteran minimal base wage) after which add $2M from the roster bonus. From there you’ll get $15.5M, which is the brand new quantity added to the signing bonus. That signifies that his base wage could be $1.25M and his new signing bonus determine could be $18.5M ($15.5M plus present $3M). When you add a void 12 months, that solely the brand new portion of the $18.5M (which is $15.5M) is unfold over this season and subsequent season, so meaning $11M ($3M unique signing bonus + $6.75M new signing bonus + $1.25M base) could be on the books for this 12 months and $6.75M for subsequent 12 months. His unique 2025 cap hit is $19.75M and after the adjustments the brand new 2025 cap hit could be $11M, which suggests the cap financial savings could be $8.75M.
If the Colts needed so as to add two void years to the top of his contract, the cap financial savings could be $11M for 2025. In the event that they needed so as to add 3 void years, the cap financial savings could be $12.1M Personally, I imagine that including two years of void is the easiest way to go as it will not solely save the group extra money within the brief time period, however unfold the hit over two extra seasons. I opted for two seasons as a substitute of three or extra because the cap financial savings is lowered after each added season and also you don’t need the lifeless cash lingering for longer than it needs to be.
Contract particulars courtesy of Over the Cap
So if the Colts opted for essentially the most environment friendly technique that isn’t a pay minimize, essentially the most they might realistically save is $12M on the Braden Smith contract.
If we add $12M to the $9.5M in projected present cap house, that leaves the Colts with roughly $21M in room. They might want to depart round $6M in cap house for his or her draft picks and they’ll depart to wish round $3M for his or her in-season transactions. In typical seasons, you’ll normally encourage your cap division to look to maintain a further $5-$10M saved for contract extensions, just like the one Bernhard Raimann and Nick Cross will possible obtain, with the contracts beginning in 2026. Nevertheless, based mostly on the back-loading of contracts, it’s very clear that Chris Ballard is all in on making the playoffs in 2025 to avoid wasting his job so I’m unsure he cares in regards to the long-term well being of the wage cap.
With that being mentioned, I venture that the Colts can spend roughly $12M extra on 2025 free brokers. Ballard structured the contracts of Charvarius Ward and Cam Bynum the place the 2025 cap hits are considerably decrease than the annual common worth of their offers, with Bynum’s 2025 cap hit being 46% of the AAV and Ward’s 2025 cap hit being 45% of the AAV. If Ballard had been to get aggressive once more, and construction a contract in that very same method, it means he can afford a free agent that’s price $26M AAV.
That also retains the Colts out of the Trey Hendrickson sweepstakes until he had been to just accept lower in his rumoured asking value, and the rumoured 1st spherical decide commerce value additional hurts the possibilities of the Colts buying and selling for him. It does, nevertheless, enable the Colts to exit and goal just about any of the remaining free brokers on the board, equivalent to Teven Jenkins, Dante Fowler Jr, Cooper Kupp, Mekhi Becton, Dennis Gardeck, Brandon Scherff or Eric Kendricks.
It additionally means the Colts can go after gamers like Quay Walker, Kyle Pitts, Trey Pipkins, Damone Clark and even Jaire Alexander by way of commerce, all of whom can simply be afforded with the projected cap house they’ve.
In my view, until an amazing supply had been to return about, I would favor him to maintain that extra cash as a substitute of making an attempt to squeeze each greenback of it. It may severely harm the Colts in the long term and depart them in a scenario the place they’ve to chop or commerce good gamers, like we’ve seen with the Payments, Chargers and Saints in recent times. I slightly they hold the cash and use a part of the additional cash on the Raimann and Cross extensions, which ought to value the group round $25M in cap house in 2026 (based mostly on my projections and of comparable gamers). Nonetheless, if the Colts had been good and obtained essentially the most out of the Smith cap financial savings, it leaves them with an honest quantity of cap house at this second.