Thursday’s sport between the Rams and the 49ers may finish with each groups having the identical file, however the final result nonetheless means much more to San Francisco than it does to L.A. due to divisional information, face to face matchups, and remaining schedule.
If the Rams lose, their playoff odds drop to about 25%, but when the Rams win it successfully ends the Niners season.
In line with The Upshot playoff odds, the 49ers maintain 4% odds to make the playoffs, which isn’t good however San Francisco’s hopes would enhance significantly if they might win their subsequent two video games towards the Rams and the struggling Miami Dolphins.
Nevertheless, a Rams win over the 49ers and their share drops to lower than 1% of outcomes in over 100,000 simulations of the remainder of the season.
The Rams’ solely mission is to maintain tempo with Seattle till their season finale rematch. If the Rams can keep inside a sport of the Seahawks after which beat them in Week 18, they might have the tiebreaker benefit over Seattle and win the NFC West except one of many different two groups has a greater file.
Nevertheless, it’s unlikely that the Rams may win the NFC West and never have a greater file than the opposite two groups as a result of L.A. performs the 49ers, Cardinals, and Seahawks in three of their final 4 video games. If the Rams win, clearly these groups lose.
However the 49ers don’t have any benefits they usually don’t have any time to make up for misplaced video games.
The 49ers maintain a 1-3 divisional file with a win over the Seahawks. They’ve two NFC West video games left after splitting the season collection with Seattle, however they’ll additionally do no higher than splitting with the Rams. In the event that they lose to the Rams and drop to 1-4 within the division, there’s no method to get better from that.
And even when San Francisco find yourself 8-7 going into their penultimate sport of the season, that’s towards the Detroit Lions in Week 17. The Lions most certainly received’t be sitting any starters at that time as a result of they might nonetheless need to play for the primary seed and Dan Campbell doesn’t need to give gamers three weeks of relaxation between video games.
The 49ers are a a lot worse crew than the Lions.
Even when the 49ers go 3-1 the remainder of the season with wins over the Rams, Dolphins, and Cardinals, they might nonetheless have lower than 10% playoff odds.
However the Niners have to beat the Rams. And the Rams want to ensure they don’t.