Nov 3, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings huge receiver Justin Jefferson (18) catches the onside kick in opposition to the Indianapolis Colts within the fourth quarter at U.S. Financial institution Stadium. Obligatory Credit score: Brad Rempel-Imagn Pictures
The Minnesota Vikings have +5000 odds to win the Tremendous Bowl in 2026, which is about the identical as a snowfall in Minneapolis on Memorial Day.
Yearly, we uplift groups that dwell in the identical neighborhood of Tremendous Bowl odds as Minnesota, and this go-around, there are about 4 golf equipment. Ranked in ascending order, the next franchises have related Tremendous Bowl moneyline (No. 1 = closest Vikings comp in 2026).
Vikings Share Vegas Tier with 4 Squads
Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Aaron Rodgers runs onto the sphere for pregame introductions at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. Rodgers entered the highlight on November 16, 2025, earlier than a divisional matchup in opposition to the Cincinnati Bengals because the stadium environment constructed and anticipation surrounded the veteran quarterback’s newest AFC North look. Obligatory Credit score: Barry Reeger-Imagn Pictures.
4. Pittsburgh SteelersOdds to Win SB: +6500
Sportsbooks will not be too enamored with the Steelers, most likely as a result of Pittsburgh is operating it again with Aaron Rodgers, who will flip 43 in December, and removed Mike Tomlin after practically 20 years — in favor of Mike McCarthy. Vikings followers will know McCarthy nicely from his time in Inexperienced Bay and Dallas. He’s a coach who establishes legitimacy, normally manufactures a playoff look, after which falls wanting the Tremendous Bowl.
Pittsburgh added huge receiver Michael Pittman, cornerback Jamel Dean, and operating again Rico Dowdle. At quarterback behind Rodgers, the depth contains Will Howard, Drew Allar, and Mason Rudolph.
The time could also be ripe for the Steelers to complete with a dropping document for the primary time since 2003.
USA At the moment‘s Nate Davis called Pittsburgh the 19th-best team in the business last week, explaining, “They officially have QB Aaron Rodgers and the most expensive trio of outside linebackers in the league after Nick Herbig became the latest to cash in on an expensive, aging defense that didn’t do practically sufficient to assist the four-time league MVP in 2025.”
“The Steelers managed to win the AFC North in a down year for the division, but 10-7 likely won’t get the job done this time around.”
3. Washington CommandersOdds to Win SB: +4500
Washington has barely higher odds to win all of it than Minnesota, most likely as a result of Vegas trusts Jayden Daniels to rebound, after a misplaced 2025 season, greater than Kyler Murray or J.J. McCarthy to surge within the Twin Cities. There’s additionally Dan Quinn, the top coach, to contemplate, who normally produces a gradual protection.
Washington Commanders head coach Dan Quinn speaks with reporters on the NFL Scouting Mix contained in the Indiana Conference Middle in Indianapolis. Quinn met with the media on February 24, 2026, as Washington evaluated draft prospects and mentioned offseason plans following the franchise’s profitable season and deep postseason run. Obligatory Credit score: Kirby Lee-Imagn Pictures.
Okay’Lavon Chaisson (DE), Leo Chenal (LB), Jerome Ford (RB), Nick Cross (S), Chig Okonkwo (TE), Odafe Oweh (EDGE), Amik Robertson (CB), Laremy Tunsil (OT), Rachaad White (RB), and Ahkello Witherspoon (CB) joined the roster in free company. The Commanders additionally used the seventh total choose within the draft on Ohio State linebacker Sonny Kinds, along with onboarding huge receiver Antonio Williams in Spherical 3.
2. Tampa Bay BuccaneersOdds to Win SB: +5000
Now — the groups with the identical Tremendous Bowl odds as Minnesota. Led by Baker Mayfield, who’s tentatively slated totally free company in 2027, Tampa Bay will hope to return to the playoffs after a down season at 8-9 final yr. Quietly, the Buccaneers reached the postseason each season from 2020 to 2024, so it was just a little bizarre for Bucs followers to dwell with out significant January soccer.
Tampa Bay launched into a extra modest free company than the aforementioned Commanders, signing Alex Anzalone (LB), Kenneth Gainwell (RB), Al-Quadin Muhammad (LB), and A’Shawn Robinson (DE). Within the draft, EDGE rusher Rueben Bain fell into their lap with the fifteenth choose, whereas the Buccaneers additionally picked linebacker Joshiah Trotter, huge receiver Ted Hurst, and cornerback Keionte Scott.
Future Corridor of Famer Mike Evans lastly left Tampa Bay, signing with the San Francisco 49ers.
The Buccaneers didn’t fetch No. 1 on this listing as a result of they’re anticipated to narrowly win the NFC South. Oddsmakers assume the Vikings will end in final place within the NFC North.
1. Indianapolis ColtsOdds to Win SB: +5000
The Colts are the membership most just like the Vikings in 2026, per sportsbooks’ expectations. They’re slated to complete in third place within the AFC South and make use of a quarterback, Daniel Jones — a former Viking — determined to show his legitimacy.
With the identical odds to hoist the Lombardi Trophy because the Vikings, Indianapolis onboarded Micheal Clemons (DE), Arden Key (DE), Derrick Nnadi (DT), Cam Taylor-Britt (CB), whereas re-upping with the aforementioned Jones and huge receiver Alec Pierce.
Washington Commanders head coach Dan Quinn addresses the media in the course of the NFL Scouting Mix on the Indiana Conference Middle. Quinn spoke on February 24, 2026, whereas league executives and coaches gathered in Indianapolis to judge draft prospects and start preparations for the upcoming NFL season. Obligatory Credit score: Kirby Lee-Imagn Pictures.
Sans a 1st-Spherical choose this yr and subsequent because of the Sauce Gardner commerce, the Colts walked away from the draft with CJ Allen, a linebacker from Georgia, and security A.J. Haulcy of LSU.
Sharp Soccer‘s Raymond Sumerlin famous on the Colts this month after rating them No. 21 in energy rankings, “The Colts got good value on CJ Allen, who some thought was a first-round talent, but they simply did not have the draft capital to add much to the roster. The pass rush still looks like a major area of concern.”
Should you’re on the lookout for the perfect comp for the 2026 Vikings, primarily based on how the world feels, it’s the Colts.
Dustin Baker is a novelist and political scientist. His second novel, The Invaders , is out now. So is … Extra about Dustin Baker
