Week 13 Colts Defensive Rankings and Evaluation: Colts protection will get pushed round.

Every week in the course of the season, I shall be strolling by way of the information from the earlier Colts sport and analyzing the numbers to kind a kind of “what happened” narrative, in addition to evaluating the Colts towards all different groups within the league. For a glossary of the stats listed, reference Season Stats. Because of Professional Soccer Reference, NFL.com, Soccer Outsiders, and the nflFastR mission for being superior sources of weekly information.

The Colts protection had a tough sport towards the Patriots. New England entered the crimson zone on 6 of their 9 drives, however earned solely 2 TDs for the hassle. Some would say that may be a profitable bend-don’t-break protection, however it was actually extra concerning the Patriots capturing themselves within the foot.

A flukey purpose line interception and again to again first down offensive holding calls from the two yard line principally took 11 New England factors off of the board. Add in an shanked chip shot subject purpose and the Patriots rating might have simply been 38.

The Patriots earned a 76.7% Drive Success Fee (72nd percentile) and had good beginning subject place on half their drives, which allowed them to persistently play on the Colts’ facet of the sphere.

TEAM TOTALS

(Use the right-left arrows to six.7toggle between stats for the week and the season).

Mouseover for definitions: Adj PPD,

Workforce PPG,

Off PPG,

Yds,

P/R%,

DSR,

yds/srs,

Strt Fld,

xOPPD,

yds/ply,

EPA/ply,

adj TSR,

1st/ply,

Pen 1st/ Yds,

3DC,

third ytg,

Expl Plys,

TO,

TOP%

2.67 Factors per Drive allowed, is the seventh worst defensive efficiency for the week coupled with the ninth worst defensive DSR. Yards per play, success price, conversion price and EPA per play all rank across the identical within the twenty fifth – twenty eighth vary.

Giving up the 2nd highest third down conversion price towards a group that had the 4th greatest avg. beginning subject place didn’t assist issues both.

Whereas this was worse than their season common, the Colts keep fifteenth place on the season in PPD, however twenty third in DSR. That’s a variety, which is fairly regarding, however DVOA has Indy protection at sixteenth, so possibly I’m overly anxious . . . (I’m not).

PASS TOTALS

(Use the right-left arrows to toggle between stats for the week and the season).

Mouseover definitions: EPA/db,

PSR,

Cmp,

Att,

Yds,

TD,

Int,

Sk,

Sk Y,

1st/db,

ny/d,

cmp %,

aDOT,

cpoe,

YBC,

YAC,

20+ #/Yd

Drake Maye earned the fifth greatest EPA/d for the week, which is manner increased than his twentieth season rank he had coming into the sport. He additionally had the 2nd greatest Cross Success Fee (sixteenth on the season). So, the Colts’ protection, but once more, made a under common QB look nice.

Maye had no downside incomes yards (seventh ny/d) and shifting the ball down the sphere (4th 1st/d). If not for the Patriots’ Keystone Cops crimson zone efficiency, this might have simply been a blowout. That’s proper, I’m comfy making silent movie references.

On the 12 months, I’ve the Colts’ cross protection at sixteenth in EPA/d and twenty third in PSR. Once more, that’s a fairly wide selection and DVOA splits the center, rating them nineteenth.

RUSH TOTALS

(Use the right-left arrows to toggle between stats for the week and the season).

Mouseover definitions:
adj RSR,

Yds,

Automobile,

TD,

1st,

Fum Misplaced,

RSR,

1st/c,

YPC,

10+ #/Yd,

third,

3DC,

epa/c,

In opposition to the run, the Colts weren’t nice however they weren’t horrible both. They gave up a number of first downs (ninth highest 1st/c) and Yards per Carry was fairly excessive (seventh most), however when adjusted for state of affairs, the adj Rush Success Fee was proper about common (sixteenth aRSR).

I’ve received them seventeenth on the season, which is near the nineteenth rank by DVOA.

CONCLUSION & LOOK AHEAD

This was a poor defensive effort and the Colts had been lucky to flee with a win. Indy’s cumulative season defensive effort is about as near pure common as there’s, however the way in which they attain that’s fairly risky, trying unhealthy 1 week and competent the following. It’s what it’s, I assume.

Subsequent week is bye-week. WOOHOO!!, I want every week off.