Week 17 Colts Offensive Rankings and Evaluation:

Every week in the course of the season, I will likely be strolling by the info from the earlier Colts recreation and analyzing the numbers to type a kind of “what happened” narrative, in addition to evaluating the Colts towards all different groups within the league. For a glossary of the stats listed, reference Season Stats. Because of Professional Soccer Reference, NFL.com, Soccer Outsiders, and the nflFastR undertaking for being superior sources of weekly knowledge.

In week 17, the Colts offense ran roughshod over the New York Giants, scoring 33 factors, which is 12 greater than the Giants’ defensive season common. The Colts entered Giants territory on 9 of their 12 drives and located the redzone 6 occasions.

The New York protection discovered minimal success forcing 1 punt and 1 turnover on downs, however outdoors of that, it was Colts turnovers that ended their drives. In different phrases, the Colts stopped themselves greater than the Giants did.

TEAM TOTALS

(Use the right-left arrows to toggle between stats for the week and the season).

Mouseover for definitions: Adj PPD,

Workforce PPG,

Off PPG,

Yds,

P/R%,

DSR,

yds/srs,

Strt Fld,

xOPPD,

yds/ply,

EPA/ply,

adj TSR,

1st/ply,

Pen 1st/ Yds,

3DC,

third ytg,

Expl Plys,

TO,

TOP%

The sport had quite a lot of drives, so the Colts’ 33 factors (which was eighth finest) dilutes right down to a thirteenth finest factors per drive. The turnovers ended drives early, which depressed each Drive Success Price (sixteenth) and EPA per play (fifteenth). Nonetheless, the offense performed higher on the entire than these measures would lead you to imagine. Indy managed the ninth finest yards per play and the eighth finest success fee.

On the season, the Colts offense ranks 18th in PPD, however solely twenty fifth in DSR. That discrepancy is a results of counting on explosive performs for factors, as a substitute of simply constantly shifting the chains. That’s partially why DVOA ranks the Colts offense twenty third.

PASS TOTALS

(Use the right-left arrows to toggle between stats for the week and the season).

Mouseover definitions: EPA/db,

PSR,

Cmp,

Att,

Yds,

TD,

Int,

Sk,

Sk Y,

1st/db,

ny/d,

cmp %,

aDOT,

cpoe,

YBC,

YAC,

20+ #/Yd

Flacco’s seventeenth ranked EPA per play was depressed by the turnovers, however his Go Success Price completed the week at tenth finest, which highlights his total consistency. He had no hassle gaining respectable chunks of yardage (eighth ny/d) and turning that into first downs (eleventh 1st/d).

On the yr, Colts passing (Richardson + Flacco) is twenty third in EPA per dropback and a fair decrease twenty seventh in PSR. Once more that reveals that the Colts relied on just a few excessive worth performs for his or her passing worth as a substitute of quite a lot of smaller constructive worth performs. DVOA ranks Colts passing at twenty third. With out Flacco, all of these ranks could be nearer to Thirtieth-ish.

RUSH TOTALS

(Use the right-left arrows to toggle between stats for the week and the season).

Mouseover definitions:
adj RSR,

Yds,

Automobile,

TD,

1st,

Fum Misplaced,

RSR,

1st/c,

YPC,

10+ #/Yd,

third,

3DC,

epa/c,

On the bottom, the Colts had the eighth most carries, so the tenth most yards is smart. However a twentieth yards per carry and a twenty first conversion fee aren’t as spectacular. Once I account for down, distance and recreation script, these effectivity measures imrpove, however find yourself solely 18th finest (adj rsr).

On the yr, I rank Colts dashing as fifteenth finest, whereas DVOA says 14th.

CONCLUSION & LOOK AHEAD

It was a powerful offensive recreation, with competent operating and good, constant passing. There have been loads of errors that restricted scoring however 33 factors ought to get you a “W” more often than not.

On the yr, the Colts numbers locations them firmly within the group of poor offenses. My stats place the Ravens, Payments and Lions offenses considerably above all different groups.

The Colts finish their season at residence internet hosting the Jaguars and their thirty first ranked protection (defensive PPD).

Jacksonville’s move protection is the worst within the league. They offer up essentially the most EPA per dropback to opposing QBs and rank twenty fifth in defensive Go Success Price. Additionally they have the third lowest variety of sacks this yr. That is one other recreation, that if Flacco doesn’t dominate, it is going to be a disappointment.

The Jags are higher towards the run, however nonetheless not good, rating twentieth in defensive adj RSR. They offer up the seventh highest rush conversion fee and the tenth most explosive rushes. Perhaps JT can placed on a present another time.