Coaching camp for the New York Giants is roughly three weeks away. Gamers report on Tuesday, July 28, with the primary follow at The Greenbrier Resort in West Virginia set for Wednesday, July 29.
Every day between now and the start of coaching camp, Huge Blue View will characteristic some type of coaching camp preview content material. That may embrace posts on positional evaluation, storylines, roster battles, and extra. We begin immediately with a take a look at honest expectations for the 2026 season.
FanDuel lists the 2026 over/below for the Giants at 7.5 wins in John Harbaugh’s first season as head coach. The over is +100, with the below -120.
Giants followers are optimistic. In a ballot right here at Huge Blue View, 63% of voters mentioned the group would win seven to 9 video games. One other 19% mentioned the group would win 10 or extra video games. That’s a number of religion in a group that gained simply seven video games whole the previous two seasons.
What number of video games will the Giants win?
Now that we all know the schedule, what number of video games do you imagine the Giants will win this season?
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BBV’s Chris Pflum got here up with a 10-7 prediction within the rapid aftermath of the schedule launch.
My prediction, admittedly probably the most optimistic prediction I might make, was 9-8.
Harbaugh raises the ground
In 18 seasons as head coach of the Baltimore Ravens, Harbaugh’s groups reached the playoffs 12 instances. There have been solely three shedding seasons. Solely a kind of seasons, a 5-11 2015 season, produced fewer than eight wins. There was a Tremendous Bowl title in 2012.
The Giants have gone 7-27 (.206 successful share) the previous two seasons and 13-38 (.255) the previous three seasons. Within the final 9 seasons, the Giants have had eight shedding years. In six of these 9 seasons, the Giants have gained fewer than six video games.
It’s exhausting to think about a group coached by Harbaugh frequently being that abysmal.
“The plan is to win every game,” Harbaugh mentioned at his introductory press convention. “You go into every game planning to win that game. That’s our expectation. That’s what we will be expecting to do. But we’ve got to earn the right to expect that by how we go to work and prepare and what kind of a team that we make ourselves into.”
Don’t count on the 2025 Patriots
The New England Patriots went 4-13 in 2023, Invoice Belichick’s remaining season. They once more went 4-13 in 2024, Jerod Mayo’s solely season as head coach.
In 2025, New England employed Mike Vrabel, a veteran head coach with a successful pedigree. They featured a extremely drafted second-year quarterback. They re-made their roster and restored a successful tradition. The Patriots went a surprising 14-3 and represented the AFC within the Tremendous Bowl.
There are Giants-Patriots parallels, clearly. A number of horrible seasons in a row. The hiring of Harbaugh, a no-nonsense veteran head coach with a successful pedigree like Vrabel. Drake Maye and Jaxson Dart. Just like the Patriots, the Giants this offseason re-made their roster.
Don’t, although, count on the Giants to reprise the Patriots’ success.
Sure, the Chicago Bears additionally had a fast, one-year turnaround. They went from 5-12 in 2024 to 11-6 and the playoffs in 2025.
Nonetheless, these kinds of in a single day turnarounds are the exception somewhat than the rule. Generally, once they do occur, just like the Washington Commanders going from 4-13 in 2023 to 12-5 and the playoffs in 2024, they’re a mirage. Washington crashed again to 5-12 final season.
Harbaugh bought fired after an 8-9 2025 season in Baltimore. An 8-9 2026 season with the Giants can be seen far otherwise. So would possibly a 7-10 12 months.
The Giants now have an achieved chief in Harbaugh. Add Daybreak Aponte, and there are veteran sounding boards that GM Joe Schoen has not had earlier than. The roster is deeper, although the Giants didn’t do something splashy in free company. Issues are trending up for the Giants, however they aren’t but near what they hope to change into. There stay holes to fill and younger gamers to develop earlier than they will get there.
Perhaps the Giants shock the NFL world and have a Patriot-esque 2026. Perhaps they go worst to first within the NFC East, although clearly good Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys groups and a doubtlessly resurgent Washington group may need one thing to say about that.
A .500-ish season by which quarterback Jaxson Dart takes a step ahead, and younger gamers like Abdul Carter, Arvell Reese, Sisi Mauigoa, Malachi Fields, Cam Skattebo, and Colton Hood appear to be a part of a brighter future is also thought of a constructive 12 months for the Giants.
If it have been me, I’d set my expectations there. If the Giants give us greater than that, then it turns into much more particular.
